Curly-Drawer
0x98d00284e6d22e5da7e0449a58364e5829a472f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$11.52
Total PnL
$-90.39
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
6 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.05
$0.05
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
6 shares @ 95.4¢·now 98.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.48
$0.16
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 4?
5514 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-16.54
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 27?
3364 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-13.45
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 23?
3324 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-9.97
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on February 14?
1151 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.45
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on March 30?
1131 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.26
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on February 12?
1131 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.52
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on February 10?
1130 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-6.78
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on February 8?
1111 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-8.89
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 13?$11.52Jul 13, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 13?$11.46Jul 13, 08:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 8?$12.02Jul 8, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 8?$12.00Jul 7, 11:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 2?$10.49Jul 2, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 2?$10.45Jul 1, 09:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$5.65Jul 1, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.31Jun 30, 22:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?$6.30Jun 25, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$5.64Jun 20, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$11.53Jun 12, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $285?$11.50Jun 12, 06:02 UTC
- REWARD$0.65Jun 3, 00:25 UTC
- REWARD$0.70Jun 3, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$12.44Jun 1, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RIKU Dining Group Ltd’s market cap be less than $90M at market close on IPO day?$12.40May 26, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?$12.45May 19, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on May 19?$12.40May 19, 07:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$12.45May 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$12.22May 12, 12:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $537.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 01:46 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 16:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.