0x98d0b794bf07e2c1b44482b196f1cab4e3724c9c
0x98d0b794bf07e2c1b44482b196f1cab4e3724c9c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-585.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
6660 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-199.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
5250 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will MrBeast raise between $43m and $44m by midnight?
794 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-119.12
- YES
Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?
530 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-222.60
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
110 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.52
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
20 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$5.20Jun 3, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.22Jun 3, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$13.52Mar 30, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$0.60Feb 25, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.32Feb 25, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$2.67Feb 25, 19:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$15.00Feb 12, 01:46 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$0.01Feb 12, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$4.30Feb 11, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$0.50Feb 11, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?$210.00Jan 31, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?$12.60Jan 31, 00:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$20.00Dec 10, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$5.00Dec 10, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$200.00Dec 10, 01:27 UTC
- REDEEMOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$992.47Dec 7, 07:48 UTC
- REDEEMOver 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$1.1KDec 7, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$1000.00Dec 6, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$70.25Dec 4, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?$19.80Dec 4, 05:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $93.05
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 12, 11:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".