Optimistic-Trophy
0x98d19a0931eca0a322a137e002e2257380bfc1ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
69
Open notional
$7.66
Total PnL
$-136.98
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 69- YES
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.00
$3.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.22
$1.22
- YES
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.32
$-0.68
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
12 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-4.89
- NO
Will Trump say "Hell" 4+ times during Cabinet Meeting on December 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $80 end of December?
56 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - October 25, 11PM ET
37 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will San Marino win on 2025-10-12?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Haskell win the Aster trading competition?
15 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$2.00Mar 2, 04:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$5.00Mar 2, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$21.26Mar 2, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET$14.42Feb 27, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$14.42Feb 27, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET$8.92Feb 26, 04:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-22?$2.81Feb 26, 04:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-21?$5.88Feb 26, 04:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-22?$2.50Feb 21, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?$2.00Feb 21, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$1.00Feb 21, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMPepperdine Waves vs. Portland Pilots$5.19Feb 21, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYPepperdine Waves vs. Portland Pilots$4.00Feb 19, 04:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-21?$5.00Feb 15, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?$2.00Feb 15, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-21?$2.00Feb 15, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?$2.00Feb 15, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$2.04Feb 13, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?$2.37Feb 13, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of February?$11.13Feb 13, 15:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $3.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 2, 20:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 2, 04:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.