Decimal-Suspension
0x98dc77d25a1dfc40e68d4dc911715c672d0ee3f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.8K
Realised
$-37.57
Win rate
43%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 50-51°F on April 10?
14383 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-109.28
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 24?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on March 23?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- MATEUSZ REBECKI
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)
877 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
802 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 6?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C or higher on March 22?
738 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-4.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on March 22?
737 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-17.02
- YES
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?
611 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 22?
602 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-6.73
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$2.20Jul 29, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$1.47Jul 29, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$2.20Jul 29, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$2.04Jul 29, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$0.56Jul 29, 03:26 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$1.10Jul 29, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$1.10Jul 29, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET$0.75Jul 29, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$1.00Jul 29, 03:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$2.20Jul 29, 03:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$1.10Jul 29, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$1.57Jul 29, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$0.66Jul 29, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$1.10Jul 29, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$0.60Jul 29, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.10Jul 29, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.05Jul 29, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$0.00Jul 29, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$4.40Jul 29, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$2.45Jul 29, 02:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 00:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 03:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.