UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)
Probability
60¢
1h
-0.5pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$139.64
Liquidity
$28.1K
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Probability (last 7 days)
+14.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 01Price move
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 60¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.
What to track next
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Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
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Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 10, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 133.5h
Price movement
+1.0pp over the last 24h, now 60¢.
Biggest hourly move: -13.5pp at 3d ago (to 50¢).
Show top 8 of 58 hourly moves
- 17:00 · +8.5pp → 59¢
- 15:00 · +8.5pp → 59¢
- 1d ago · +8.0pp → 58¢
- 3d ago · -9.0pp → 56¢
- 3d ago · -10.0pp → 55¢
- 3d ago · -9.5pp → 54¢
- 3d ago · -13.5pp → 50¢
- 3d ago · -13.5pp → 50¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to "Grant Dawson" if Grant Dawson is officially declared the winner of the fight against Mateusz Rebecki at UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland, scheduled for May 9, 2026. It will resolve to "Mateusz Rebecki" if Mateusz Rebecki is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 23, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Alerts
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