Nifty-Standpoint
0x98e3078ca8680e961ed67795d77f9d23fe879208
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-14.28
Realised
$-23.72
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- ALEX DE MINAUR
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas
63 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$62.58
$26.89
- NO
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
63 shares @ 85.5¢·now 84.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$53.08
$-0.92
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
54 shares @ 92.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Oct 28, 2026$50.40
$0.27
- NO
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?
84 shares @ 48.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.06
$6.72
- YES
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
70 shares @ 70.0¢·now 60.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$42.27
$-7.04
- NO
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
52 shares @ 68.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.51
$3.12
- NO
Glean IPO before 2027?
41 shares @ 87.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$37.40
$1.64
- NO
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
59 shares @ 56.0¢·now 63.5¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$37.39
$4.42
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the GA-07 House seat?
43 shares @ 79.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$37.01
$3.21
- NO
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
52 shares @ 68.9¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$36.67
$1.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 30?$34.51Jul 29, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?$12.90Jul 29, 19:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Eric Barlow win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?$12.03Jul 29, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?$36.81Jul 29, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?$18.63Jul 29, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?$32.44Jul 29, 00:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas$36.46Jul 28, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?$35.69Jul 28, 10:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 28?$25.48Jul 28, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 28?$20.36Jul 28, 10:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on July 28?$1.20Jul 28, 10:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 28?$0.02Jul 28, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 28?$17.00Jul 28, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation be 3.4% in July?$35.40Jul 28, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 28?$32.59Jul 28, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C or higher on July 28?$1.00Jul 28, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 29?$34.68Jul 28, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 28?$42.23Jul 28, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$33.95Jul 28, 04:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $29.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 02:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 19:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.