Lively-Ignorant
0x98e5c43d27f165f1dafcf47f2556b764c73a8233
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$12.98
Total PnL
$-523.91
Realised
$201.96
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$5.00
$4.00
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8 shares @ 12.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.33
$0.33
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
18 shares @ 10.9¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.83
$-0.16
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.80
$-0.20
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
3 shares @ 31.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.51
$-0.49
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.45
$-0.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$78.95Apr 3, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?$3.70Feb 28, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: India vs South Africa$19.10Feb 22, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: India vs South Africa$10.00Feb 22, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: India vs South Africa$10.00Feb 22, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: India vs South Africa$10.00Feb 22, 15:54 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 World Cup: India vs South Africa$17.65Feb 22, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: India vs South Africa$10.00Feb 22, 13:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs England$10.00Feb 22, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs England$10.00Feb 22, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs England$10.00Feb 22, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs England$10.00Feb 22, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs England$10.00Feb 22, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs England$10.00Feb 22, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs England$10.00Feb 22, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs England$10.00Feb 22, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Italy vs West Indies (Game 1)$10.00Feb 19, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 World Cup: Namibia vs Pakistan (Game 1)$6.88Feb 18, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMT20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)$69.13Feb 17, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLT20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)$49.76Feb 16, 16:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $11.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 18:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 3, 19:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".