Discrete-Career
0x98f51ece4ebd9cd63b3b66c7db1d8eb21db8eca3
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$15.51
Total PnL
$-8.53
Realised
$-3.39
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
21 shares @ 46.8¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$10.71
$1.07
- YES
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
6 shares @ 76.0¢·now 80.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$4.80
$0.24
- NO
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
51 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$4.84May 16, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$4.92May 16, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$4.61May 16, 02:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.02May 15, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.02May 15, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.82May 15, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$1.96May 15, 13:44 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$2.10May 15, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$2.34May 15, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.09May 15, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$2.51May 15, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$1.94May 15, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUY2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House$2.25May 15, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.13May 15, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$1.13May 15, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$2.54May 15, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$2.06May 15, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$1.55May 15, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET$0.03May 15, 08:59 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET$0.00May 15, 08:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 08:38 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 03:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".