Serpentine-Oversight
0x98fce428db4b92b4c9e5427b4c9822fbc7025382
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$159.00
$-21.00
- NO
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
100 shares @ 98.2¢·now 98.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$98.15
$-0.05
- NO
Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
100 shares @ 96.7¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$95.00
$-1.70
- NO
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200 shares @ 46.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$83.00
$-9.00
- YES
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
715 shares @ 18.6¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.52
$-61.33
- NO
Will the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?
60 shares @ 82.0¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$54.60
$5.40
- NO
Anthropic CEO arrested?
50 shares @ 95.5¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.48
$1.73
- NO
EU dissolves before 2027?
50 shares @ 96.6¢·now 96.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$48.33
$0.03
- NO
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
50 shares @ 97.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2027$48.25
$-0.25
- NO
Will fewer than 100 tornadoes occur in the United States in June 2026?
50 shares @ 95.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$40.52
$-6.97
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 3, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 5, 2026?$7.80Jun 2, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 5, 2026?$10.63Jun 2, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: June$17.40Jun 2, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$10.00Jun 2, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMPam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?$29.67Jun 2, 07:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Ornn H200 Index be less than $3.00 on June 30, 2026?$49.55Jun 1, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.35B?$9.62Jun 1, 06:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $14.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 21, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.