Lovable-Violence
0x990655efc3e4ff8d488af70c268e32f5df61c0ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
64
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$429.45
Win rate
71%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 64- NO
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
2939 shares @ 96.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.7K
$-80.69
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?
54 shares @ 81.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$45.12
$1.35
- YES
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?
110 shares @ 13.8¢·now 11.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.65
$-2.55
- NO
Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?
85 shares @ 17.3¢·now 14.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$11.84
$-2.84
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
1180 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.77
$-9.97
- NO
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
15 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.01
$-0.88
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Joe Biden by July 31, 2026?
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?
1943 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-43.58
- YES
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1673 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-70.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$20.25Jul 29, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$18.40Jul 29, 13:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$5.11Jul 29, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$93.10Jul 29, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$0.35Jul 29, 12:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$6.13Jul 29, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$3.45Jul 29, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$1.00Jul 29, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$0.04Jul 29, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$1.80Jul 29, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$0.04Jul 29, 08:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$0.09Jul 29, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$0.03Jul 29, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$0.11Jul 29, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Netanyahu hug on Tuesday?$0.02Jul 29, 08:04 UTC
- REWARD$1.19Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$565.19Jul 28, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$323.53Jul 28, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by July 31?$1.5KJul 28, 12:47 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$2.80Jul 28, 10:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
33/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $209.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 20:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 13:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.