Firsthand-Silence
0x9916c37f0aa85bacaf87275bbe6f2515eaa5a2b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$8.1K
Total PnL
$-10.7K
Realised
$-5.48
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
3000 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.8K
$255.00
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
6219 shares @ 37.8¢·now 28.6¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.8K
$-572.53
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
4442 shares @ 59.6¢·now 30.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2000 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$1.3K
$-10.00
- YES
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1944 shares @ 33.0¢·now 37.8¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$734.66
$92.85
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1500 shares @ 15.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$112.50
$-112.50
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
425 shares @ 6.0¢·now 16.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$69.49
$43.99
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
160 shares @ 10.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$40.24
$24.24
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
16000 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-7.8K
- YES
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
2000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?$1.98May 19, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?$6.20May 19, 01:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $242.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".