Icy-Attainment
0x9952d39fcc7a5baf664da51dd1b9c95f23ca9cba
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$19.4K
Total PnL
$-9.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
33800 shares @ 63.6¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.4K
$-2.1K
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
1069129 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
7500 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
7146 shares @ 28.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
5226 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- NO
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?
432 shares @ 64.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-280.28
- NO
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15?
100 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-72.00
- YES
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?
95 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.87Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$201.71Jul 19, 07:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$25.00Jul 19, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$75.00Jul 19, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$50.00Jul 19, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$10.00Jul 19, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.0KJul 19, 05:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$38.29Jul 19, 05:40 UTC
- REWARD$7.23Jul 19, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$8.08Jul 18, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$4.80Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$3.0KJul 13, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$6.10Jul 13, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$21.59Jul 13, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$1.1KJul 13, 14:55 UTC
- REDEEMIndiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces$99.99Jul 13, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces$34.29Jul 13, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces$12.24Jul 13, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces$24.46Jul 13, 02:08 UTC
- REWARD$13.84Jul 13, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance
$17.9K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $574.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 01:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.