Soft-Raffle
0x9955bb62a6cf3bb3ad9184e4418221098c1d3ea4
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$76.28
Total PnL
$-278.62
Realised
$4.10
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?
128 shares @ 78.0¢·now 59.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$76.28
$-23.72
- YES
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?
615 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will GPT-5 be released by July 31?
223 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
New X CEO announced by August 31?
200 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
- NO
Will Snowflake say "Hiring" during earnings call?
71 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
X relaunches Vine in 2025?
58 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
49 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say "AGI" or "Artificial general intelligence" in December?
49 shares @ 41.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Snowflake say "Competition" during earnings call?
47 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKaty Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?$100.00Jan 20, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in December?$35.71Jan 1, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?$50.00Jan 1, 10:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?$51.28Dec 18, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Leavitt say "President" 66+ times during the next White House press briefing?$26.88Dec 14, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$10.00Dec 3, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AGI" or "Artificial general intelligence" in December?$20.00Dec 3, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Santa Claus" in December?$20.00Dec 3, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fuck" or "Fucking" or "Fucked" in December?$25.00Dec 3, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leavitt say "President" 66+ times during the next White House press briefing?$20.00Dec 3, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Snowflake say "Competition" during earnings call?$20.00Dec 3, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Snowflake say "Hiring" during earnings call?$20.00Dec 2, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$20.00Nov 21, 21:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStars vs. Canucks$20.00Nov 21, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA say "Hyperscaler" during earnings call?$51.96Nov 20, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?$21.28Nov 19, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?$25.34Nov 19, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA say "Domestic" during earnings call?$20.00Nov 19, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" 3+ times during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?$25.64Nov 19, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "America" or "American" 15+ times during the McDonald's Summit on November 17?$125.13Nov 19, 16:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $25.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 14:43 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 20, 23:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".