Complete-Draft
0x9974a5d270e6353bee0f8379e9a144f3ac4b2840
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$780.51
Total PnL
$-37.20
Realised
$-1.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?
289 shares @ 72.5¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$249.75
$40.47
- YES
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before September 30, 2026?
213 shares @ 81.7¢·now 93.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$198.55
$24.09
- YES
Gemini 3.2 released by June 30, 2026?
143 shares @ 70.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$138.51
$38.51
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 30?
300 shares @ 44.7¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$70.50
$-63.70
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
200 shares @ 50.7¢·now 35.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$70.47
$-31.09
- YES
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?
22 shares @ 89.0¢·now 97.6¢·exp May 8, 2026$21.92
$1.92
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 25?
60 shares @ 30.3¢·now 7.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.20
$-14.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 27?
40 shares @ 10.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.60
$-1.60
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 26?
40 shares @ 10.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.60
$-1.60
- YES
Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 28?
40 shares @ 10.5¢·now 6.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.60
$-1.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 21?$2.202h ago
- TRADESELLWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?$2.202h ago
- TRADESELLWill a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$78.993h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 21?$2.073h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 24?$2.073h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 26?$2.073h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 27?$2.073h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 28?$2.073h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 29?$2.073h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 30?$2.073h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 31?$2.073h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 30?$132.604h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 25?$16.384h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 16?$2.285h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 17?$2.285h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 18?$2.285h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19?$2.905h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 20?$7.855h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 21?$2.285h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.2 be released on May 22?$4.975h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $34.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 27d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
