Worrisome-Presence
0x99895be43689e3370fae75e8f8bded743b1089bf
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
554 shares @ 47.6¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$263.36
$-0.64
- NO
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
263 shares @ 76.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$251.32
$51.32
- YES
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?
432 shares @ 52.1¢·now 30.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$129.56
$-95.44
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?
128 shares @ 78.4¢·now 95.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$121.25
$21.25
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
141 shares @ 71.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$120.42
$20.42
- GERMANY
Spread: Germany (-3.5)
213 shares @ 47.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$107.45
$7.45
- YES
Will France win on 2026-06-16?
149 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$99.25
$-0.75
- SPAIN
Spread: Spain (-2.5)
196 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$99.02
$-0.98
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
136 shares @ 69.9¢·now 69.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$93.73
$-1.27
- NO
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
167 shares @ 60.0¢·now 55.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$91.81
$-8.19
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$95.00Jun 14, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$166.56Jun 14, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$102.08Jun 13, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Brazil (-1.5)$102.04Jun 13, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$142.86Jun 11, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-06-16?$100.99Jun 11, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-2.5)$101.47Jun 11, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$20.57Jun 11, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Germany (-3.5)$101.59Jun 11, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$101.59Jun 11, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$101.23Jun 10, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$100.90Jun 10, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?$259.06Jun 10, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?$128.31Jun 10, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 8, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$101.35Jun 8, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?$100.00Jun 6, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$240.51Jun 4, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$100.00Jun 3, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$100.00May 31, 18:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $194.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 03:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 14:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.