Hard-To-Find-Beef
0x998eef5a720987a9829fe35417a4cca85f75c336
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$2.52
Total PnL
$-20.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 45.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.47
$-0.53
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
2400 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
2200 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 26, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.05Jan 26, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? $1.00Jan 15, 02:18 UTC
- REDEEMAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 10?$1.02Jan 15, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US strike on Venezuela by January 10?$1.00Jan 7, 02:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michael Mizrachi win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Jan 7, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan decreases interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Jan 7, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $500 before 2026?$1.00Jan 7, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hollow Knight: Silksong win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$1.02Jan 7, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS national Dogecoin reserve in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by December 31?$1.02Jan 7, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMDave Portnoy in jail in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMToken Launch Party Parlay$1.01Jan 7, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMSenate passes bill to purchase 1m Bitcoin in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump jail Elon Musk?$1.02Jan 7, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin more valuable than any company in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill SOL flip ETH in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 02:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 02:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 07:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".