Detailed-Choice
0x99cbb81f3de786e81b56077598875d8b0f6ff629
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$16.9K
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-1.2K
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
15774 shares @ 92.2¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.9K
$338.64
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
710 shares @ 87.1¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$582.88
$-35.87
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
534 shares @ 87.5¢·now 75.8¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$405.05
$-62.44
- YES
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?
603 shares @ 58.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$353.02
$3.02
- NO
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
291 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$251.45
$1.45
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
529 shares @ 69.8¢·now 46.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$245.96
$-123.04
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
150 shares @ 90.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$117.75
$-17.25
- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
600 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.70
$-0.30
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
100 shares @ 7.9¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.85
$-0.05
- NO
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
40180 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-157.43
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$354.41Jun 13, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$148.23Jun 13, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$135.00Jun 13, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win on 2026-06-17? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?$71.47Jun 13, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.12Jun 13, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.35Jun 13, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$98.00Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic$73.00Jun 12, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marie Mettraux vs Anja Stankovic$21.62Jun 12, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$23.40Jun 12, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$449.00Jun 11, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$218.35Jun 11, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? AND Will United States win on 2026-06-12?$122.62Jun 11, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$59.00Jun 11, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$60.00Jun 11, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$25.87Jun 11, 09:46 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 15?$149.84Jun 9, 07:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$499.50Jun 9, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?$393.53Jun 8, 06:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$95.65Jun 7, 21:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $137.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 21:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 07:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.