Nimble-Mobility
0x99d13b89a392e987fe43f0c4b863565124a7d5c1
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
122
Open notional
$588.19
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$36.89
Win rate
67%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 122- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
8532 shares @ 9.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$430.84
$-342.71
- YES
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
1242 shares @ 12.1¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$155.22
$4.47
- NO
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
28 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.13
$0.14
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
15144 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-111.17
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
9823 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-133.03
- YES
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker in 2025?
8836 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-31.10
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be greater than 150% on November 12?
8709 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-21.56
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
7300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.30
- YES
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12?
4727 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-15.92
- NO
Will House and Senate pass funding bill by November 30?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$1.99Jul 26, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$49.96Jul 25, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$51.85Jul 24, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$14.40Jul 20, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$55.84Jul 20, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$11.39Jul 18, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$0.74Jul 18, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$5.00Jul 18, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$10.35Jul 18, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$1.91Jul 18, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$0.36Jul 18, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$35.35Jul 18, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$4.72Jul 18, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$14.04Jul 15, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the July 2026 meeting?$14.50Jul 14, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?$17.11Jul 7, 08:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$17.10Jul 7, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$17.52Jul 1, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?$17.64Jul 1, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?$5.17Jul 1, 13:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 58/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $17.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 05:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 26, 12:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.