Heartfelt-Homeownership
0x9a01ba9cf95056d27acae30f5e81a48fe2856cff
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
117
Open notional
$98.47
Total PnL
$-3.4K
Realised
$30.37
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 117- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
418 shares @ 23.9¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$50.21
$-49.78
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
222 shares @ 18.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.67
$-23.33
- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
47 shares @ 43.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.19
$-5.81
- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
113 shares @ 4.4¢·now 7.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.90
$3.90
- YES
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
170 shares @ 2.9¢·now 2.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.25
$-0.74
- YES
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in July?
396 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.78
$-17.22
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.40 in July?
227 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.91
$-49.09
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
1128 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.56
$-9.44
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?
3731 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 20?$10.40Jul 20, 02:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.11Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$104.62Jul 19, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?$52.15Jul 19, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?$51.82Jul 19, 20:49 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$276.73Jul 19, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$104.45Jul 19, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 1+ goals AND Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists$99.99Jul 19, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 1+ goals AND Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists$99.99Jul 19, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Take First Corner$82.16Jul 19, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$103.50Jul 19, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina to win the second half?$51.80Jul 19, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5$62.64Jul 19, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First Half$104.10Jul 19, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?$150.00Jul 19, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $5.19Jul 18, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?$5.19Jul 18, 23:27 UTC
- REDEEMJude Bellingham: 1+ goals$0.00Jul 18, 23:23 UTC
- REDEEMJude Bellingham: 1+ goals$0.00Jul 18, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMJude Bellingham: 1+ goals$71.82Jul 18, 23:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
41 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $85.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 20:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 02:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.