Jolly-Savior
0x9a3e9475b48052f4d553d2a414574e278433145c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-250.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be less than 40.0 on January 30, 2026?$100.00Jan 31, 11:38 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$25.10Jan 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in January 2026?$30.91Jan 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of January?$97.66Jan 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$10.39Jan 28, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,200 by end of January?$72.00Jan 27, 15:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia join the Board of Peace?$23.21Jan 27, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump's approval rating be less than 40.0 on January 30, 2026?$100.00Jan 26, 17:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$7.69Jan 26, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$6.14Jan 26, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$14.00Jan 26, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia join the Board of Peace?$25.00Jan 26, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia join the Board of Peace?$17.75Jan 26, 17:12 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump out as President by March 31?$24.89Jan 26, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$10.00Jan 25, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on January 25, 2026?$50.00Jan 24, 14:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$10.16Jan 24, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?$11.00Jan 22, 13:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect for France by Feburary 1?$1.22Jan 22, 13:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$9.63Jan 22, 13:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $27.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 16:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 31, 11:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.