Actual-Bulk-Rate
0x9a5b1c2e3fa83e68acb3447b7e8aa823bf97acf6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$48.40
Total PnL
$15.08
Realised
$0.46
Win rate
57%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10 shares @ 51.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.14
$0.15
- NO
Will Japan be the furthest advancing AFC nation at the World Cup?
6 shares @ 55.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.27
$-0.03
- YES
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 29?
8 shares @ 36.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jun 29, 2026$3.18
$0.28
- YES
Will the New England Patriots draft Brendan Sorsby in the 2026 NFL Supplemental Draft?
15 shares @ 4.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$2.85
$2.25
- YES
Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$2.22
$0.23
- YES
Will the Tennessee Titans draft Brendan Sorsby in the 2026 NFL Supplemental Draft?
15 shares @ 4.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$1.65
$1.05
- YES
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
9 shares @ 18.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.53
$-0.14
- YES
Will Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
92 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.52
$0.48
- YES
Will the New Orleans Saints draft Brendan Sorsby in the 2026 NFL Supplemental Draft?
15 shares @ 4.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$1.50
$0.90
- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks draft Brendan Sorsby in the 2026 NFL Supplemental Draft?
14 shares @ 4.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$1.40
$0.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$1.99Jun 23, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$1.13Jun 23, 20:47 UTC
- TRADESELLBurnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?$1.17Jun 23, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBurnham unopposed in 2026 Labour leadership contest?$1.40Jun 23, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 29?$2.90Jun 23, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?$0.86Jun 23, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$1.27Jun 23, 20:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$1.75Jun 23, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$0.01Jun 23, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$0.56Jun 23, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$0.11Jun 23, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$0.35Jun 23, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lionel Messi's national team advance the furthest at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.53Jun 23, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$0.31Jun 23, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pat McFadden be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$0.06Jun 23, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?$0.59Jun 23, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in July 2026?$1.05Jun 23, 19:48 UTC
- TRADESELLPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$0.06Jun 23, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLPresident Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$3.15Jun 23, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 29?$0.05Jun 23, 19:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 20:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.