Flawed-Jewel
0x9a5b328953ed63bce5a05d4c3398622005b7cb7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$462.25
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$101.67
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
381 shares @ 52.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$380.95
$180.95
- YES
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
81 shares @ 12.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$81.30
$71.30
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
16382 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.6K
- YES
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?
4300 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-281.00
- BETBOOM TEAM
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Xtreme Gaming
950 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-38.00
- HEROIC
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs. Heroic
578 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-81.44
- XTREME GAMING
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs. PARIVISION
445 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- PARIVISION
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs. Xtreme Gaming
380 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-81.40
- YES
Will PARIVISION win The International 2025 Tournament?
250 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 14, 2025$0.00
$-42.50
- YES
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?
226 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance$20.72Jul 10, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-10?$31.30Jul 10, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance$50.96Jul 6, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$10.44May 16, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$204.75May 15, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tria launch a token by March 31, 2026?$536.09Mar 25, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tria launch a token by March 31, 2026?$271.50Feb 1, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tria launch a token by March 31, 2026?$90.60Feb 1, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tria launch a token by March 31, 2026?$46.00Jan 24, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tria launch a token by March 31, 2026?$27.22Jan 24, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tria launch a token by March 31, 2026?$45.90Jan 24, 17:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tria launch a token by March 31, 2026?$5.94Jan 24, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin all time high before 2026?$212.83Oct 22, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$235.20Oct 21, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin all time high before 2026?$40.96Oct 21, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin all time high before 2026?$6.21Oct 20, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin all time high before 2026?$21.00Oct 20, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by October 31?$171.36Oct 17, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$289.29Oct 16, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$10.71Oct 16, 15:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $73.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 13, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 20:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.