Remote-Demur
0x9a67e1f53bb4c0ceab79489c6ef637cc9185af26
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$374.60
Realised
$-15.26
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December?
755 shares @ 69.9¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$698.03
$170.82
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December?
542 shares @ 64.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$506.31
$158.72
- NO
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
393 shares @ 69.9¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$343.71
$69.04
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
161 shares @ 62.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$116.94
$16.94
- MICROSOFT
Anthropic + OpenAI vs Microsoft - higher valuation on December 31?
165 shares @ 48.3¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$101.18
$21.68
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
64 shares @ 47.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$50.11
$20.11
- NO
Will Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?
81 shares @ 61.9¢·now 52.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2027$41.98
$-8.02
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
61 shares @ 76.4¢·now 64.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$39.28
$-7.63
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
69 shares @ 65.0¢·now 53.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$36.51
$-8.29
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
114 shares @ 61.5¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.86
$-34.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLManchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5$33.21Aug 23, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 4.5$30.31Aug 23, 13:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 23, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLRCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5$35.68Aug 22, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLRCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5$37.20Aug 22, 20:59 UTC
- TRADESELLRCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5$10.01Aug 22, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5$20.29Aug 22, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYRCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5$50.45Aug 22, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBrentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5$10.70Aug 22, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrentford FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5$10.13Aug 22, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League?$50.95Aug 22, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMHull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5$87.50Aug 22, 13:42 UTC
- REDEEMPFK Levski Sofia vs. AEK: O/U 0.5$0.00Aug 22, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYHull City AFC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5$70.70Aug 22, 10:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 22, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLArsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5$52.08Aug 21, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYArsenal FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5$50.50Aug 21, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?$4.88Aug 21, 08:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Aug 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$32.32Aug 20, 08:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $26.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 22:54 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 23, 13:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.