Flawless-Hardship
0x9a917be3cc7cf8d3dbee25d4a4eceffb5689946c
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
150
Open notional
$268.98
Total PnL
$84.86
Realised
$47.99
Win rate
67%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 150- NO
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?
44 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 3, 2026$43.53
$21.71
- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.63
$9.31
- NO
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?
16 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.05
$7.87
- NO
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?
16 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$15.60
$7.78
- NO
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
13 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.12
$6.56
- NO
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
8 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$7.50
$3.75
- NO
Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
7 shares @ 50.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp May 7, 2026$6.92
$3.41
- NO
Will Moon Jin-seok win the 2026 Chungcheongnam Province gubernatorial election?
6 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$5.99
$2.99
- NO
Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.86
$2.43
- NO
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the Ohio Governor Republican Primary Election by 70% or more?
5 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 5, 2026$4.48
$2.23
Recent activity
- SPLITWill Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?$7.4911m ago
- REDEEMWill Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?$7.5028m ago
- SPLITWill Meituan have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$1.0130m ago
- REDEEMWill John Piper be the Republican nominee for IN-04?$1.5030m ago
- TRADESELLWill "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$0.0049m ago
- SPLITWill "Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?$1.5049m ago
- TRADESELLWill 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$0.0156m ago
- TRADESELLWill another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?$0.091h ago
- SPLITWill Fujieda MYFC win on 2026-05-06?$1.501h ago
- SPLITWill another result occur for the next governing coalition of New Zealand?$1.501h ago
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C or higher on May 7?$1.501h ago
- SPLITWill Malcolm Offord be the next First Minister of Scotland following the 2026 Scottish parliamentary elections?$1.501h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 5?$1.501h ago
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Austin be 100°F or higher on May 6?$1.502h ago
- SPLITWill Camilo Santana win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$1.502h ago
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C or higher on May 6?$1.502h ago
- TRADESELLWill Reform UK win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$4.232h ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Mexico City be 30°C on May 6?$0.232h ago
- TRADESELLWill FUT Esports win IEM Atlanta 2026?$0.072h ago
- SPLITWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on May 7?$1.502h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $0.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 5h ago
- Last active
- 11m ago
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
