Embellished-Twilight
0x9a937d7c3b2f5e1289c540268b3029833fea0527
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$30.01
Total PnL
$-11.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
11 shares @ 89.7¢·now 98.7¢·exp May 16, 2026$11.00
$1.00
- NO
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
11 shares @ 91.5¢·now 92.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.14
$0.14
- NO
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?
5 shares @ 60.2¢·now 47.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.34
$-0.66
- NO
Will Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?
3 shares @ 61.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.33
$0.33
- YES
Will RC Deportivo de la Coruna achieve promotion from LALIGA 2 to LALIGA for the 2026-27 season?
4 shares @ 57.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$1.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 29.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-16?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?
20 shares @ 10.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.42
$-1.58
- YES
Will Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?
8 shares @ 38.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Montenegro advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?
8 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill CD Castellón win on 2026-05-15?$1.01May 15, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill UD Las Palmas win on 2026-05-16?$1.02May 15, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?$2.60May 15, 08:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$4.05May 15, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$1.02May 15, 08:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?$1.09May 14, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$3.04May 14, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$2.04May 14, 18:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denmark win Eurovision 2026?$2.09May 14, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Latvia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$1.03May 14, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?$1.02May 14, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?$2.01May 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Girona FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?$1.02May 14, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$2.74May 14, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill San Marino advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$6.49May 14, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$2.03May 12, 15:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$10.04May 12, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RC Celta de Vigo vs. Levante UD end in a draw?$1.02May 12, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CA Osasuna win on 2026-05-12?$2.04May 12, 15:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Betis Balompié vs. Elche CF end in a draw?$1.02May 12, 15:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $6.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 30, 07:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 08:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".