Overlooked-Approval
0x9aa07a637500769bc35eee5ff31497d8c0db8779
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
162
Open notional
$92.64
Total PnL
$-214.85
Realised
$3.61
Win rate
40%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 162- NO
Will Betty Yee win the California Governor Election in 2026?
10 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$9.99
$0.00
- NO
Will Casey DeSantis be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 29?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?
5 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.99
$-0.00
- NO
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.99
$-0.00
- NO
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.99
$0.01
- NO
Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
5 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$4.99
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.21Jul 29, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$1.21Jul 29, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLThe Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Trent Rockets$2.04Jul 29, 10:35 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner$0.63Jul 29, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner$1.01Jul 29, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 29?$4.99Jul 29, 03:43 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1.79Jul 29, 03:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$1.91Jul 29, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLSeattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$2.90Jul 29, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: New York Liberty (-4.5)$0.00Jul 29, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: New York Liberty (-4.5)$2.53Jul 29, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$2.08Jul 29, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Liberty (-4.5)$1.35Jul 29, 03:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: New York Liberty (-4.5)$0.71Jul 29, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBoston Red Sox vs. Athletics$4.53Jul 29, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYThe Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Trent Rockets$2.71Jul 29, 02:58 UTC
- TRADESELLPortlandFire vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 176.5$2.75Jul 29, 02:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortlandFire vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 176.5$1.76Jul 29, 02:42 UTC
- TRADESELLArizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$1.40Jul 29, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$1.52Jul 29, 02:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
53/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
40% win rate over 25 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
25 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 02:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 10:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.