Cheerful-Sugar
0x9aa1c8d2c4ef47f2c75225d1f510b616ea1936f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$281.78
Total PnL
$-555.78
Realised
$-0.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
360 shares @ 25.0¢·now 34.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$122.94
$32.83
- YES
Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
80 shares @ 82.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$67.73
$2.39
- IVA JOVIC
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovic
101 shares @ 65.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$66.22
$0.51
- ALEXANDRA EALA
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Iga Swiatek
51 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$12.49
$-0.26
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
31 shares @ 35.0¢·now 40.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.40
$1.55
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
205 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-11.89
- NO
Morocco vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score
201 shares @ 62.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-125.37
- NO
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25?
165 shares @ 77.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-128.05
- OVER
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
156 shares @ 61.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-95.28
- ALEX MOLCAN
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alex Molcan
147 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-22.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.