Incomplete-Millstone
0x9aa5b732031e970ed856be2dcb38c8f8b349c11a
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$27.66
Total PnL
$-35.92
Realised
$-6.31
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.70
$-0.10
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
27 shares @ 13.9¢·now 25.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.83
$3.08
- NO
Judy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?
5 shares @ 92.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$5.38
$0.38
- NO
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.86
$1.58
- YES
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
390 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.97
$-0.58
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
6 shares @ 24.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.78
$-0.61
- YES
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 5.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.14
$-1.21
- NO
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?
2810 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.81
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
1070 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.07
- NO
Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?
553 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.66
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 13, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.56Feb 21, 14:03 UTC
- TRADESELLJudy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >10% by Feb 20?$0.18Feb 21, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLJudy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >10% by Feb 20?$1.37Feb 21, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYJudy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >10% by Feb 20?$3.20Feb 21, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYJudy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >10% by Feb 20?$5.00Feb 21, 00:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYJudy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?$2.41Feb 20, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$1.77Feb 20, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYJudy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?$2.59Feb 20, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?$10.45Feb 20, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYJudy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?$5.00Feb 20, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYJudy Shelton Fed Chair Nomination Odds >5% by Feb 20?$5.00Feb 20, 22:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US strike Somalia next?$1.99Feb 20, 21:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Grok 4.20 be released on February 17, 2026?$8.37Feb 20, 21:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$0.43Feb 20, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$1.98Feb 19, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.49Feb 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - February 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET$1.07Feb 19, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Mexico by December 31?$1.90Feb 19, 05:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $3.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 05:10 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".