Chilly-Checkbook
0x9ab56b1134194bf8a13ed295a70e8e11dde1ba4a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$643.05
Total PnL
$-12.3K
Realised
$-70.35
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
789 shares @ 54.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$643.05
$216.93
- NO
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?
9259 shares @ 70.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.5K
- NO
Will Israel or the US target Tehran?
2831 shares @ 79.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.2K
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 29?
2062 shares @ 97.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- NO
GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?
1614 shares @ 68.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
1274 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-169.19
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET
400 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 4, 2026$0.00
$-256.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 2?
200 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-102.20
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
5 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.85
- YES
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-0.23
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$105.88Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$90.40Jun 12, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?$5.92Jun 12, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?$20.26Jun 12, 03:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$5.02Jun 12, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win on 2026-06-11?$20.20Jun 12, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$314.42Jun 12, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?$600.00Jun 12, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMInsurrection Act invoked by March 31?$700.00Jun 12, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$17.85Mar 1, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$401.00Mar 1, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$489.56Mar 1, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$998.62Mar 1, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$4.6KMar 1, 07:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$2.1KMar 1, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$4.25Mar 1, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$1.63Mar 1, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$1.35Mar 1, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$5.20Mar 1, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$1.0KMar 1, 07:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.7K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 00:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.