Messy-Ambience
0x9ac7b413ef6ed429dc50526cbd09a6ea77ed78c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$244.21
Total PnL
$-12.43
Realised
$12.09
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026?
132 shares @ 28.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$130.09
$93.13
- YES
Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
905 shares @ 20.0¢·now 7.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$71.50
$-109.50
- $140
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first?
174 shares @ 29.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$42.63
$-7.83
- YES
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
1 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.31
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be 3rd richest person on March 31?$0.40Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$0.70Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Montreal Canadiens win the Atlantic Division?$0.00Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy talk to Putin by March 31?$0.00Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Real Oviedo (-1.5)$0.00Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on March 9, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?$35.00Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Spongebob Movie: Search for SquarePants" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 21m and 24m?$0.00Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bristol City FC win on 2026-02-14?$0.00Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?$186.00Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest" while addressing the nation on December 17?$0.00Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?$0.00Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Motherwell FC win on 2026-02-04?$0.00Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" while addressing the nation on December 17?$0.00Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mojtaba Khamenei tweet again on March 17?$0.00Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?$0.00Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMCharleston Cougars vs. Campbell Fighting Camels$620.00Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie or Mamdani say "Robot" or "Robotic" or "Robotics" during NYC rally?$0.00Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMMiddle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks$0.00Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026?$1.1KJun 15, 13:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $252.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 23:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 17:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.