Extraneous-Croup
0x9ad64f384d51d850054266ac3ba3ac0eb435cc62
Wallet digest
Activity score
97/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-184.60
Realised
$97.34
Win rate
89%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?
300 shares @ 80.9¢·now 92.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$278.40
$35.64
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
250 shares @ 78.6¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$181.25
$-15.25
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
400 shares @ 81.1¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$178.20
$-146.09
- YES
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
150 shares @ 48.3¢·now 87.5¢·exp May 29, 2026$131.25
$58.75
- YES
Will Everett Wess be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?
102 shares @ 79.5¢·now 88.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$90.40
$9.33
- NO
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026?
90 shares @ 81.0¢·now 86.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.44
$4.52
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 50 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
338 shares @ 13.7¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$52.34
$6.07
- NO
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
60 shares @ 77.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.70
$1.50
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
280 shares @ 16.2¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$43.40
$-1.90
- NO
Will the Republican Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 2% and 4%?
42 shares @ 84.6¢·now 93.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$39.49
$3.76
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$13.50Jun 14, 19:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?$5.77Jun 14, 19:01 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$15.64Jun 14, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$2.76Jun 14, 09:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$24.00Jun 14, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$37.50Jun 14, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$41.00Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$75.79Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$42.83Jun 13, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$61.17Jun 13, 17:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$305.25Jun 12, 23:22 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.71Jun 10, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$44.84Jun 9, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$21.16Jun 9, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$17.25Jun 9, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$1.15Jun 9, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in June?$4.74Jun 9, 16:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$16.28Jun 9, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$40.26Jun 9, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?$40.26Jun 9, 16:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $44.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 22:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 19:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.