Rewarding-Requirement
0x9b079b5511f57d485a104dfba732ebb14693a937
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$39.98
Total PnL
$-45.81
Realised
$-3.09
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?
14 shares @ 69.0¢·now 70.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.03
$0.21
- YES
Will "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 13, 2026$9.79
$2.69
- NO
Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.26
$-1.69
- YES
Will Leavitt say "Russia" or "Ukraine" during the next White House Press Briefing?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$3.13
$0.07
- YES
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
7 shares @ 28.1¢·now 40.9¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.86
$0.89
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 72.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.77
$-0.73
- YES
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 95m?
5 shares @ 12.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.23
$0.63
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.02
$-1.72
- YES
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
20 shares @ 5.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$0.80
$-0.22
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 1.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.54
$-0.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill "Moana" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 44m?$7.10Jul 11, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?$0.74Jul 11, 07:36 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner$2.10Jul 11, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner$1.50Jul 10, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Toy Story 5" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?$3.38Jul 10, 16:42 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winner$2.41Jul 10, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: LGD Gaming vs 1win - Game 2 Winner$1.49Jul 9, 19:41 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: BetBoom Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner$2.49Jul 9, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: BetBoom Team vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winner$1.99Jul 9, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Evil Dead Burn" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 25m?$5.00Jul 9, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Virtus.pro vs 1win - Game 1 Winner$1.99Jul 8, 19:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$10.00Jul 6, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$9.99Jul 6, 12:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?$4.50Jul 5, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?$2.00Jul 5, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$25.47Jul 4, 08:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?$1.19Jul 4, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$3.59Jul 3, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$0.00Jul 3, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?$0.00Jul 3, 14:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 20:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 07:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.