Querulous-Recollection
0x9b0d9a05e414f43073028ded3faee29c6af7bb88
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$21.18
Total PnL
$-22.67
Realised
$-1.89
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
6 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$6.36
$0.01
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
6 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.20
$0.12
- NO
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$2.89
$0.01
- NO
Will Davis Thompson win the 2026 Masters tournament?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$1.62
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$1.61
$0.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$1.35
$0.00
- NO
Will Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.14
$0.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?
49 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.93
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$5.24Mar 23, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Davis Thompson win the 2026 Masters tournament?$308.76Mar 22, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?$139.72Mar 22, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$5.29Mar 21, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lương Cường be the next President of Vietnam?$141.00Mar 21, 08:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Davis Thompson win the 2026 Masters tournament?$311.00Mar 21, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$249.50Mar 21, 08:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$200.80Mar 21, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$201.00Mar 19, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$255.00Mar 19, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$153.76Mar 19, 14:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$303.39Mar 19, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$160.00Mar 18, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?$309.00Mar 18, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$173.48Mar 18, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?$304.08Mar 18, 08:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 00:36 UTC
- REWARD$1.07Mar 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?$175.00Mar 17, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March?$306.00Mar 17, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 66/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $206.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 21, 12:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 23, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.