Dependent-Millimeter
0x9b22f05eab284c3379ef2576019739e32a273a92
Wallet digest
Activity score
99/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
162
Open notional
$3.9K
Total PnL
$189.21
Realised
$270.26
Win rate
65%
74 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 162- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?
600 shares @ 80.9¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$530.97
$45.73
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?
321 shares @ 74.2¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$251.77
$13.91
- YES
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?
265 shares @ 55.6¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$193.57
$45.99
- NO
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?
159 shares @ 79.9¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$143.43
$16.13
- NO
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?
159 shares @ 71.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$136.90
$23.88
- YES
Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?
150 shares @ 63.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$126.75
$31.01
- YES
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?
199 shares @ 58.8¢·now 56.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$111.51
$-5.50
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by September 30?
557 shares @ 17.5¢·now 20.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$111.34
$14.05
- YES
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?
285 shares @ 28.9¢·now 37.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$105.31
$22.95
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?
218 shares @ 49.1¢·now 47.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.63
$-3.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine strikes another vessel in the Black Sea by July 31, 2026?$4.32Jul 29, 04:47 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?$2.31Jul 29, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$6.73Jul 29, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?$1.46Jul 29, 03:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?$14.20Jul 29, 03:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$12.66Jul 29, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$4.12Jul 29, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win the next Kirov Oblast Parliament elections?$14.61Jul 29, 01:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$3.31Jul 29, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$6.81Jul 29, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$1.22Jul 29, 00:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?$5.55Jul 28, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia win the next Amur Oblast Parliament elections?$7.78Jul 28, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?$4.10Jul 28, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$2.15Jul 28, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$1.57Jul 28, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$7.42Jul 28, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?$3.90Jul 28, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?$0.92Jul 28, 22:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
78/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
65% win rate over 74 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
74 closed markets, 65% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 16:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 04:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 74 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.