First-Notation
0x9b599aff58ebc046e4665655f6f38fd01e17bfc6
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$549.22
Total PnL
$27.04
Realised
$2.18
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?
209 shares @ 90.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$201.55
$13.67
- YES
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
170 shares @ 56.1¢·now 56.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$96.26
$0.64
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
91 shares @ 78.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$77.52
$6.38
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
96 shares @ 52.8¢·now 70.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$67.42
$16.70
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
216 shares @ 5.2¢·now 16.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$34.96
$23.64
- YES
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
3000 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$22.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
28 shares @ 66.4¢·now 60.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$16.80
$-1.79
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
90 shares @ 19.3¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.00
$-3.45
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
10 shares @ 64.5¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2026$5.70
$-0.59
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$1.59May 17, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$4.20May 17, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$0.46May 17, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$1.50May 17, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$7.91May 17, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?$180.90May 17, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$0.13May 17, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$0.13May 17, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$5.60May 17, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$0.08May 17, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$9.36May 17, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$8.00May 17, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$6.70May 17, 04:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$7.70May 17, 04:07 UTC
- TRADESELLGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$3.65May 17, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$8.60May 17, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$0.35May 17, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$1.00May 17, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$11.05May 17, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$10.20May 17, 02:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $7.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 13:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".