Official-Exaggeration
0x9b5b3417340c5eb17de2265d573827df4cb8daca
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$500.24
Total PnL
$-48.20
Realised
$-2.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
200 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$200.00
$5.20
- NO
Will Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?
120 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$120.12
$3.12
- NO
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
120 shares @ 83.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$120.00
$20.16
- NO
Will Turkey strike Iran by April 30?
60 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$60.12
$0.72
- YES
Will Andorra win on 2025-11-13?
346 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-19.38
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?
270 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.35
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 December 1-7?
237 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?
100 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
91 shares @ 48.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-44.10
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?
74 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey strike Iran by April 30?$59.40Apr 23, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$44.10Apr 12, 12:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament?$0.18Apr 9, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Min Woo Lee win the 2026 Masters tournament?$2.43Apr 7, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hideki Matsuyama win the 2026 Masters tournament?$117.00Apr 6, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?$99.84Apr 1, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$79.68Mar 24, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$79.92Mar 24, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$194.80Mar 23, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill PRO hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$55.15Dec 30, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$140.28Dec 30, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$138.18Dec 17, 15:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,200 December 1-7?$1.50Dec 5, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andorra win on 2025-11-13?$19.38Nov 13, 10:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?$19.96Nov 1, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?$19.96Oct 31, 16:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 20% or more?$60.00Oct 30, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Astronomer CEO Andy Byron sue Coldplay?$90.27Oct 30, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Álex Rins win the 2025 MotoGP Czechia?$140.11Oct 30, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMFed rate cut by June meeting?$200.22Oct 30, 09:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $274.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 19, 06:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 23, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.