Dutiful-Cartload
0x9b5dc8793a43f26295a0c8eec3e58b041989fbb6
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$2.2K
Total PnL
$440.67
Realised
$328.63
Win rate
79%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?
521 shares @ 71.7¢·now 86.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$448.23
$74.40
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
300 shares @ 67.2¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$208.28
$6.78
- NO
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
191 shares @ 72.8¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$161.20
$22.33
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
160 shares @ 71.4¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$119.20
$4.90
- NO
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
188 shares @ 59.2¢·now 55.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$104.10
$-6.90
- NO
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
120 shares @ 67.3¢·now 74.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$88.79
$8.10
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
100 shares @ 81.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.50
$1.50
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
190 shares @ 32.7¢·now 36.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$69.25
$7.25
- NO
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?
83 shares @ 75.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$66.81
$4.56
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?
201 shares @ 29.9¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$56.23
$-3.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?$14.002h ago
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$125.802h ago
- YIELD$0.025h ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$20.006h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?$5.007h ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Hell" 10+ times at The Villages on May 1?$9.008h ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$9.908h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?$0.258h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Waiter" or "Waitress" at The Villages on May 1?$2.559h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?$3.459h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "American Dream" at The Villages on May 1?$1.799h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?$0.8011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?$1.5011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?$1.5012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?$0.7012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?$1.5012h ago
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$1.2013h ago
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$1.2013h ago
- TRADEBUYAWS service disrupted by June 30?$4.4013h ago
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?$1.0813h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $16.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".