Tiny-Shadow
0x9b669e80590a95f2e8b04f87279d86f23526ab0a
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$8.88
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
66 shares @ 21.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$7.63
$-6.30
- YES
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 38.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-2.55
- YES
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
11442 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-36.45
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the next leader out before 2027?
4330 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.70
- YES
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?
3309 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.44
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
1146 shares @ 51.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-592.78
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
717 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- YES
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
700 shares @ 72.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-508.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?
600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?
97 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.79
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$186.00Jun 15, 03:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?$649.23May 5, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?$3.80May 1, 13:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$58.00Apr 29, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$6.23Apr 27, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$1.79Apr 27, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$0.27Apr 27, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$2.95Apr 27, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?$2.69Apr 27, 01:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$960.00Apr 26, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$431.53Apr 26, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$161.25Apr 26, 02:56 UTC
- REWARD$1.11Apr 26, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$188.00Apr 25, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$7.1KApr 25, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$20.93Apr 25, 18:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$103.33Apr 25, 18:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$83.70Apr 25, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$53.82Apr 25, 17:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$56.76Apr 25, 17:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $365.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 20:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 03:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.