Soupy-Wren
0x9b884b2754fe6264b9876d03e2ca858033f1e454
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$278.70
Total PnL
$-348.96
Realised
$20.36
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Iran leadership change by June 30?
200 shares @ 82.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$196.70
$32.70
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
400 shares @ 39.3¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$82.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?
30000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 28?
9999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 5?
4445 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.44
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 10?
2022 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-17.98
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 28?
1637 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-46.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 12?
500 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 14?
300 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-27.30
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$100.00Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$69.64Jun 11, 09:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$198.80May 27, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by June 30?$164.00May 22, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$126.03May 10, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$11.98May 10, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$0.17May 10, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$0.27May 10, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$0.34May 10, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$0.01May 10, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$3.89May 10, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$0.18May 10, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by May 31?$39.13May 10, 20:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$9.99May 8, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change by April 30?$200.00May 2, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.01Apr 30, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.70Apr 30, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$37.74Apr 30, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$3.35Apr 30, 12:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$19.24Apr 30, 12:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $14.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 28, 06:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.