Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 28?

• 1

  Down 3pp over 24h

  Now 2¢; -0.2pp in the last hour.

• 2

  Heavy volume on this book — 1.9× turnover

  $54.1k traded against $28.9k of visible liquidity. The book is being worked, not just quoted.

• 3

  Momentum signal firing

  Probability moved down 3.4pp in 24h with 1.9× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

• 4

  Resolution-risk signal firing

  Expires in 31h with open resolution ambiguity.

• 5

  Expiry in 31h

  Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.