Cultured-Platypus
0x9b996df7902f4e8ec945e40077282cfff2aad5d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$31.73
Total PnL
$-452.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 18?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$9.81
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 18?
8 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$8.03
$0.03
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 65°F or below on June 19?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$7.19
$-0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 18?
7 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$6.70
$0.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
694 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-180.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
54 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-31.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
50 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-23.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET
50 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-23.50
- SPURS
Spread: Spurs (-18.5)
40 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
30 shares @ 52.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-15.46
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 18?$7.01Jun 18, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 65°F or below on June 19?$7.20Jun 18, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 18?$6.70Jun 18, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 18?$8.00Jun 18, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 17?$6.51Jun 18, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 17?$6.61Jun 17, 22:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or below on June 17?$10.01Jun 17, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 17?$7.01Jun 17, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 17?$6.60Jun 17, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 18?$9.80Jun 17, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on June 18?$7.00Jun 17, 09:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on June 16?$8.31Jun 17, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 16?$7.51Jun 16, 16:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 16?$8.71Jun 16, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on June 16?$7.50Jun 16, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 17?$6.50Jun 16, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on June 16?$8.30Jun 16, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 16?$8.70Jun 16, 09:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C or below on June 17?$10.00Jun 16, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 17?$7.00Jun 16, 09:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $45.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 07:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 16:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.