Foolhardy-Lathe
0x9bcbbc3b406ccc7bb6c5c7998e4298e384e3b8f0
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$150.08
Total PnL
$-848.54
Realised
$-61.18
Win rate
20%
64 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Over $22.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?
100 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$100.00
$8.00
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
100 shares @ 46.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$30.50
$-15.50
- YES
Over $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?
20 shares @ 66.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$19.58
$6.38
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
450 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
350 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 29 to January 31, 2026?
300 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
250 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
232 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.64
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.80
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.19Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $25M committed to the RipCars public sale?$13.51Jul 22, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $22.5M committed to the RipCars public sale?$92.52Jul 22, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$46.99Jul 22, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$100.00Feb 22, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$100.00Feb 22, 10:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?$70.00Feb 12, 04:58 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets February 13 - February 20, 2026?$0.00Feb 11, 04:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$99.90Feb 11, 04:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?$50.00Feb 11, 04:48 UTC
- CONVERSIONElon Musk # tweets February 10 - February 17, 2026?$0.00Feb 11, 00:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?$99.90Feb 11, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$0.55Feb 11, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 11, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$6.80Feb 11, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$1.00Feb 11, 00:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$7.75Feb 11, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$14.60Feb 11, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$14.10Feb 11, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?$15.10Feb 11, 00:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
49/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 64 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
64 closed markets, 20% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $16.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 8, 09:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 64 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.