New-Cloakroom
0x9c66d6951800760738f8e6c4ef00293d0aa1076e
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
5
Open notional
$5.50
Total PnL
$-11.77
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
3 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.05
$0.01
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 9?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$1.23
$0.00
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.22
$0.02
- NO
Will Solana dip to $175 in October?
11 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-9.80
- YES
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
2 shares @ 92.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.20May 9, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on May 9?$1.23May 9, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$3.04May 9, 05:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$1.21May 9, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.60May 9, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$3.06May 9, 05:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?$3.13May 9, 05:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$2.97Mar 10, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darren Bailey win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?$3.00Mar 10, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$2.59Mar 10, 04:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of January?$1.33Mar 10, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?$2.08Mar 10, 03:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$3.35Mar 10, 03:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYOpinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$2.00Jan 26, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $150 end of January?$1.32Jan 26, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$3.30Jan 26, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMLighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?$1.04Jan 26, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$1.06Jan 26, 01:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$1.56Jan 26, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?$1.03Dec 23, 02:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
10/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $291.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 11:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 05:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.