0x9c73b7eb6aefda1a8756e3a818b9f80f34840cea
0x9c73b7eb6aefda1a8756e3a818b9f80f34840cea
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$4.98
Total PnL
$-9.56
Realised
$-2.62
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Haiti?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$4.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Germany win the third most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
37 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 14°C on May 12?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Haiti?$5.00Jun 18, 18:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$5.05Jun 16, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$5.00Jun 15, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Curaçao?$5.06Jun 14, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Germany 0 - 0 Curaçao?$5.00Jun 14, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia win Eurovision 2026?$5.06May 17, 03:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Malta win Eurovision 2026?$5.05May 17, 03:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$5.05May 17, 02:55 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$5.04May 16, 02:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$5.06May 15, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 15?$5.05May 15, 18:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$5.00May 15, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$5.04May 15, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia win Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 14, 17:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 14?$5.06May 14, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 15?$5.00May 14, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 14?$5.05May 14, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C or higher on May 14?$5.00May 14, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C or higher on May 13?$5.04May 14, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$5.00May 14, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $5.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 20:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 18:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.