Luminous-Temporariness
0x9c879b5a38b510627d78dc6c41cf2744b4e45a32
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$15.26
Total PnL
$-549.39
Realised
$7.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?
203 shares @ 49.1¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.26
$-84.74
- YES
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 24 ET?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
862 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
429 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
324 shares @ 47.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-155.00
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?
227 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
222 shares @ 17.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
167 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Israel strikes Iran before 2026?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
160 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$30.00Apr 4, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNaim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026?$100.00Apr 2, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$40.53Mar 12, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex any territory by June 30?$50.00Mar 12, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$20.00Mar 5, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$20.00Mar 2, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$37.34Mar 2, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$10.00Mar 2, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$20.00Mar 2, 06:12 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$55.34Feb 28, 13:40 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$19.62Feb 28, 07:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$20.00Feb 28, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$20.00Feb 28, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$383.06Feb 28, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$73.00Feb 16, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?$40.00Feb 1, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$19.00Jan 26, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$50.00Jan 20, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$20.00Jan 17, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$5.00Jan 17, 09:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $31.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 16, 13:15 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 4, 19:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".