Compassionate-Socialism
0x9c87c1a2fa6a7b22a05058baaf50208ae9df604d
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$34.80
Total PnL
$-35.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Sweden vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score
17 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$16.67
$7.67
- YES
Will Andorra win on 2026-06-04?
11 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$11.11
$4.11
- NO
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
7 shares @ 97.4¢·now 97.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.03
$0.03
- YES
Will Spain win on 2026-06-04?
19 shares @ 94.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- NURMAGOMEDOV
Dvalishvili vs. Nurmagomedov
12 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2025$0.00
$-8.28
- YES
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?
12 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
8 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- LANDWEHR
Landwehr vs. Choi
7 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2024$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Elon tweet 475-499 times Nov 22-29?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-06-04?$18.03Jun 4, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andorra win on 2026-06-04?$7.08Jun 4, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYSweden vs. Greece: Both Teams to Score$9.12Jun 4, 15:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Slovenia win on 2026-06-04?$8.07Jun 4, 15:48 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell federally charged by June 30?$13.08Jun 4, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$10.67Jun 4, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 15?$11.53Jan 28, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$6.00Jan 15, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell federally charged by June 30?$12.00Jan 15, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 15?$11.00Jan 15, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$8.00Jan 15, 16:17 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out by November 30, 2025?$5.19Jan 15, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$7.33Jan 15, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aave win 2025 Uniswap Cup?$8.51Jan 15, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$8.89Jan 15, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown end November 11?$11.08Jan 15, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?$12.35Jan 15, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$15.43Jan 15, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aave win 2025 Uniswap Cup?$8.00Nov 11, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?$7.00Nov 11, 11:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $9.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 17, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 15:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.