Ultimate-Thermals
0x9c94a21cdaf741226440ce8ac817b2ff1c7e6863
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$145.91
Total PnL
$-57.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 2?
147 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 3, 2026$145.91
$-0.59
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 17?
1531 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
1109 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on April 17?
812 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.62
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 9?
791 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.68
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 2?
729 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.46
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
710 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.84
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 22?
678 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.03
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 2?
589 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 1?
589 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $84,000 on May 2?$146.519h ago
- REDEEMWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of April 27 2026?$152.049h ago
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 Week of April 27 2026?$151.881d ago
- REDEEMWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$151.151d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$151.002d ago
- REDEEMWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$151.302d ago
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$151.014d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 27?$151.484d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 27?$151.345d ago
- REDEEMMadrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Zeynep Sonmez$5.635d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?$145.705d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 26?$145.576d ago
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Solana Sierra vs Zeynep Sonmez$2.356d ago
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$147.926d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$148.077d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?$148.087d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on April 25?$147.947d ago
- TRADEBUYMadrid Open: Jaume Munar vs Casper Ruud$2.007d ago
- TRADESELLWill Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$149.947d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$150.098d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $115.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 15d ago
- Last active
- 9h ago
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".