0x9c95c8c10628488c64210f107a4dc7d0085663ff
0x9c95c8c10628488c64210f107a4dc7d0085663ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
159
Open notional
$71.03
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$-206.23
Win rate
0%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 159- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
35 shares @ 14.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$35.45
$30.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
11 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$10.50
$6.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$7.75
$3.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
8 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$7.53
$2.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
6 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$6.24
$2.25
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
4 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$3.57
$1.82
- TEXAS RANGERS
Texas Rangers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
498 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-34.85
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 20?
371 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-37.10
- PEDRO SAKAMOTO
Santos: Valerio Aboian vs Pedro Sakamoto
243 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-48.99
- COLORADO ROCKIES
Colorado Rockies vs. Houston Astros
221 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2026$0.00
$-33.09
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$4.72Jul 22, 14:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$4.09Jul 22, 13:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET$4.86Jul 22, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET$4.16Jul 22, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$0.16Jul 22, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$0.72Jul 22, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.85Jul 22, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$1.63Jul 22, 13:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$0.60Jul 22, 13:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$6.85Jul 22, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.63Jul 22, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$2.52Jul 22, 13:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$5.01Jul 22, 12:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$5.01Jul 22, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$0.90Jul 22, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.45Jul 22, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$0.85Jul 22, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$3.82Jul 22, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$2.96Jul 22, 10:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$3.14Jul 22, 10:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
60/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 34 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
34 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $2.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 03:08 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 14:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.