Self-Reliant-Distribution
0x9c987f84d18a4dd640909409b31212fbb805f4f4
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
142
Open notional
$84.4K
Total PnL
$-138.5K
Realised
$80.15
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 142- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
21917 shares @ 76.3¢·now 98.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$21.6K
$4.8K
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
14320 shares @ 87.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.2K
$1.7K
- YES
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
8763 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$8.8K
$211.61
- NO
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
17478 shares @ 58.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$8.3K
$-1.8K
- NO
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
8363 shares @ 90.8¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.0K
$450.55
- NO
US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 31, 2026?
7670 shares @ 84.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.0K
$524.13
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
8054 shares @ 85.9¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.5K
$-2.4K
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
5790 shares @ 92.3¢·now 75.2¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.4K
$-989.74
- NO
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
6140 shares @ 87.4¢·now 65.6¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$4.0K
$-1.3K
- UNDER
New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5
1961 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$2.0K
$959.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)$513.00Jul 29, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants$510.25Jul 29, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)$1.5KJul 29, 01:10 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$5.80Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5$517.00Jul 28, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5$1.0KJul 28, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?$11.9KJul 28, 22:34 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)$2.0KJul 28, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Cabos Open: Coleman Wong vs Darwin Blanch$1.0KJul 28, 04:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$10.12Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYArizona Diamondbacks vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$513.00Jul 27, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants$511.00Jul 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Braves vs. New York Mets$1.0KJul 27, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)$1.0KJul 27, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Zachary Svajda$510.00Jul 27, 20:27 UTC
- REDEEMSeattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5$1.6KJul 27, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5$1.0KJul 27, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers$1.0KJul 27, 15:45 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$4.18Jul 27, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMAtlanta Braves vs. Baltimore Orioles$1.1KJul 26, 22:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$6.4K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
May 30, 03:50 UTC → May 30, 03:47 UTC
- BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$6.4K@80¢May 30, 03:47 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
28/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
38% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
$6.4K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.3K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 07:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 01:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.