Puny-Harm
0x9c9ad74b04c7de5bf3030754e5b1cec7ad02553b
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$53.11
Total PnL
$-42.2K
Realised
$1.1K
Win rate
89%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?
36 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$36.36
$16.36
- YES
Will Donald Trump visit Washington in 2026?
76 shares @ 92.5¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.11
$-57.89
- YES
Will EUR/USD hit 1.20 (High) in 2026?
14 shares @ 73.0¢·now 21.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.98
$-7.38
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 55.9¢·now 16.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.65
$-3.95
- YES
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?
24843 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.1K
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
11186 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-424.66
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
10343 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-617.88
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
8462 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-349.17
- NO
Will the November 2025 unemployment rate be ≥4.6%?
4685 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-3.1K
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?
4673 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-598.74
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?$20.36Jul 14, 00:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of July 6 2026?$16.95Jul 8, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of July 6 2026?$10.16Jul 7, 15:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?$14.29Jul 7, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06?$5.10Jul 5, 18:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?$4.77Jul 5, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$9.33May 24, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?$24.00May 24, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?$32.66May 24, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?$2.00May 24, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?$3.27May 24, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?$14.48May 24, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$82.03May 23, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$44.40May 23, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$14.99May 23, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$1.68May 23, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$0.83May 23, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?$4.66May 23, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?$2.17May 23, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) settle over $4,600 on the final trading day of June 2026?$2.90May 23, 18:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
75/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
89% win rate over 37 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
37 closed markets, 89% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $20.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 05:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 00:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.